OATML

Causal models of agents have been used to analyse the safety aspects of machine learning systems. But identifying agents is non-trivial – often the causal model is just assumed by the modeler without much justification – and modelling failures can lead to mistakes in the safety analysis. This paper proposes the first formal causal definition of agents – roughly that agents are systems that would adapt their policy if their actions influenced the world in a different way. From this we derive the first causal discovery algorithm for discovering agents from empirical data, and give algorithms for translating between causal models and game-theoretic influence diagrams. We demonstrate our approach by resolving some previous confusions caused by incorrect causal modelling of agents.