OATML

Accurate estimation of thermospheric density is critical for precise modeling of satellite drag forces in low Earth orbit (LEO). Improving this estimation is crucial to tasks such as state estimation, collision avoidance, and re-entry calculations. The largest source of uncertainty in determining thermospheric density is modeling the effects of space weather driven by solar and geomagnetic activity. Current operational models rely on ground-based proxy indices which imperfectly correlate with the complexity of solar outputs and geomagnetic responses. In this work, we directly incorporate NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) extreme ultraviolet (EUV) spectral images into a neural thermospheric density model to determine whether the predictive performance of the model is increased by using space-based EUV imagery data instead of, or in addition to, the ground-based proxy indices. We demonstrate that EUV imagery can enable predictions with much higher temporal resolution and replac... [full abstract]

We introduce BatchGFN---a novel approach for pool-based active learning that uses generative flow networks to sample sets of data points proportional to a batch reward. With an appropriate reward function to quantify the utility of acquiring a batch, such as the joint mutual information between the batch and the model parameters, BatchGFN is able to construct highly informative batches for active learning in a principled way. We show our approach enables sampling near-optimal utility batches at inference time with a single forward pass per point in the batch in toy regression problems. This alleviates the computational complexity of batch-aware algorithms and removes the need for greedy approximations to find maximizers for the batch reward. We also present early results for amortizing training across acquisition steps, which will enable scaling to real-world tasks.

Automated planetary transit detection has become vital to prioritize candidates for expert analysis given the scale of modern telescopic surveys. While current methods for short-period exoplanet detection work effectively due to periodicity in the light curves, there lacks a robust approach for detecting single-transit events. However, volunteer-labelled transits recently collected by the Planet Hunters TESS (PHT) project now provide an unprecedented opportunity to investigate a data-driven approach to long-period exoplanet detection. In this work, we train a 1-D convolutional neural network to classify planetary transits using PHT volunteer scores as training data. We find using volunteer scores significantly improves performance over synthetic data, and enables the recovery of known planets at a precision and rate matching that of the volunteers. Importantly, the model also recovers transits found by volunteers but missed by current automated methods.

OATML students Pascal Notin and Ruben Wietzman are co-organizing the Workshop on Computational Biology (WCB) at ICML 2023 jointly with collaborators at Harvard, Columbia, Cornell and others. OATML students Freddie Bickford Smith, Jan Brauner and Shreshth Malik are part of the program committee.

OATML students Pascal Notin and Clare Lyle, along with OATML group leader Yarin Gal, are co-organizing the Machine Learning for Drug Discovery (MLDD) workshop at ICLR 2023 jointly with collaborators at GSK, Genentech, Harvard, MIT and others. OATML students Neil Band, Freddie Bickford Smith, Jan Brauner, Lars Holdijk, Andrew Jesson, Andreas Kirsch, Shreshth Malik, Lood van Niekirk and Ruben Wietzman are part of the program committee.

OATML group members and collaborators are proud to present 8 papers at NeurIPS 2022 main conference, and 11 workshop papers. …